The games 1, 2 and 5 -- if necessary --
will
be home games for the higher seeded team in this best-of-5 series.
Injuries
are turned off for the playoffs, meaning a player can be injured only
for
that particular game, but can return for the next game. Pitching
rotations
are on a four-man skip rotation, meaning the fourth starter will be
skipped
if the first starter is ready to pitch. Since there are off days off
games
2 and 4, some game 1 starters will be available in game 4 on three
days'
rest.
The No. 3 seeded Las
Vegas Rat Pack will take on the No. 6 seeded Hillsborough
Hired Hitmen, and the No. 4 seeded Philadelphia
Endzone Animals face the No. 5 seeded D.C.
Bushslappers. (The two division winners each
have byes in this round.)
The top seed to survive this round will
take
on the No. 2 seed, the Morris Division champion Vancouver
Iron Fist; the lower-seeded survivor faces the Hanover
Division
winner, the top-seeded Newark Sugar Bears.
Las Vegas Rat Pack (#3,
106-56) vs. Hillsborough Hired Hitmen (#6,
87-75)
The Las Vegas Rat Pack
and Hillsborough Hired Hitmen have never faced
each other in the post-season, are in different divisions and play on
opposite sides of the country. But that hasn't stopped the owners from
carrying on a well-publicized feud through the media. Hillsborough won
the regular season series, 7 games to 5, but the real bragging rights
will come after this much anticipated post-season showdown.
The squawking
between
Hillsborough owner Brent Campbell and Vegas
owner Eric Wickstrom started in January,
immediately after
Campbell pulled off the massive Alex Rodriguez trade
with the Arkansas Golden Falcons. (Hillsborough sent A-Rod plus Adam Dunn, Ian Snell, Jeremy Bonderman and Jonathan
Broxton to Arkansas in exchange for Nick
Markakis, Dan Haren, a 7th round pick in
2008, a 4th and 7th in 2009 and a 5th in 2010.) The next morning,
Wickstrom was quoted in the Las Vegas Times-Picayune that it was "hard
to believe that one of the greatest players in the history of baseball
wasn't worth a bit more than this," and congratulated the Golden
Falcons on getting a great deal. "Brent could have gotten a TON more
for A-Rod," he added. "I wish someone else would give me one of the
greatest hitters in history for dimes on the dollar." Campbell, in
response, said he took the best offer on the table after shopping A-Rod
for two years. "I need to step to the plate and win a damn
championship," he told the Hunterdon Daily Bugle. "I now have one of
the best starting rotations in this league. I still have plenty of
offense. I am gunning for top, taking no prisoners, no mercy. Stop the
jealousy and play the game!" Wickstrom, after being asked about the
"best offer" comment, told Reno Sports Talk Radio 840 AM that, after
the 2006 season, he'd offered Chris Young, Ryan Zimmerman and a first round pick in 2008 for
A-Rod, but was rejected. "A year later you take less for more," he
said. That got the two owners sparring through the media over the
relative value of the players involved in that and other potential
trades.
That led to a memorable exchange at the
ESPN Awards, caught on an open mic:
<>EW: "Dude,
whatever -- you got raped and now you're trying to justify it. Just
admit you gave your good friend a hometown discount and move on.">
<> BC: "You are
just
talking out of your arse. What better starting pitcher was I offered
this off-season? Can't name one? Then shut it. It takes balls to say
you will be running with the big dogs this season, especially after
this past season.">
<> EW: "I really
hope
you're not considering yourself one of those 'big dogs' I'll be running
with. That's a whole other pack I'll be with as you're stuck chasing
your own tail!">
<> BC: "You are
talking like you have been running with the big dogs! In reality, you
have only been eating their shit at the starting line. What the hell
have you done? One thing I do know is I hope I meet you in the
playoffs. I can't wait to knock you down from the high you are on.
Bring it on!">
<>(At this point, Eli
Manning and David Tyree step between
the two owners to break it up.)>
<> >
Nine months later, away we go!
Reaching the post-season as the top wild
card team is the culmination of a dramatic rebuilding effort that began
the moment the Rat Pack were eliminated in the first round of the 2006
playoffs, their first-ever playoff experience. For much of that season,
Las Vegas had battled Newark for
first place overall. In July, the team made a series of high-profile
trades in a bid to push them over the top; instead, the Rats stumbled
to a 5th place finish and were eliminated after a tough five-game
series with the Mighty Men. Wickstrom didn't waste any time, making
five trades before Draft Day to stock up on picks and prospects. More
trades followed last season, this off-season and right through this
year. The result? An improvement of 54 wins (earning him the Ian
Rintel Front
Office Executive of the Year Award) and the top wild card spot. Not
surprisingly, it is almost an entirely new Rat Pack team taking the
field for their
second-ever post-season appearance -- including the manager. Morris Buttermaker is gone, replaced by Wickstrom
himself, making him the first Manager/GM/Owner in the history of the
DMBL. Wix says he's been doing a lot of work in the batting cage and
next season wants to be the next Player/Manager/GM/Owner. Wickstrom got
as much as he could out of the Rat Pack -- maybe even a little bit
more, as they finished with the second-best record despite a
fourth-best +182 run differential. Much of the discrepancy can be
attributed to their league-best 31-11 record in one-run games, which
was just one win shy of tying the league record. The Rats combine the
league's second-best offense (976 RF) with the fifth-best pitching
staff (794 RA) led by a pair of aces and a deep, talented bullpen.
Manager Mike Greenwell's
Hired Hitmen are in the post-season for the first time in their
four-year existence, although Campbell reached the playoffs twice in
six years with his previous teams, the Louisiana
Lightning and Scranton Sparrows. (The
Lightning made it in 1997 and 1998, and came up 2 games short in '96;
the Sparrows missed by 4 games in '93.) The Hitmen battled for the
sixth and final wildcard spot all year long and finally clinched it in
the final week; right up until the last day they had a shot at claiming
the fifth overall record. But perhaps the No. 6 seed suits them better,
as they went 4-9 against Philly, the team they would have faced as the
higher seed. They posted an impressive 7-5 record against the Rats,
including a 4-2 record in Las Vegas. But one thing to keep in mind --
Hillsborough won the first seven meetings between the two teams, but
the Rats won the next five. We'll see if Vegas figured something out.
The Hitmen, despite their name, are actually built around their
pitching, not their offense. They ranked 9th in runs scored (766), but
2nd in runs allowed (728), for a sixth-best +38 run differential.
The Rats have been the hotter team
recently, winning 7 out of their last 10 games, including their last
five in a row, while the Hitmen finished the year alternating wins and
losses in five straight games. But over the second half, the records
were closer -- the Rats had the league's third-best record at 49-28
(.636 W%), while the Hitmen were tied for fourth at 46-33 (.586 W%).
The Rats have a powerful offense anchored
around a veteran platoon at designated hitter. Jim
Thome (.331/.466/.679 vs RHP) does the damage against righties
while Frank
Thomas (.361/.453/.667 vs LHP) cleans up against lefties. The pair
truly represent a two-headed monster at
DH as neither is eligible at any other position this year. The infield
features two first round picks from this year's draft, No. 2 pick
Carlos Pena (.272, 1.025 OPS) at
first base and No. 9 pick Jeff
Keppinger (.316, .814) at shortstop. The second base duties are
handled by Placido Polanco (.298, .710)
acquired in an off-season trade
with Vancouver, and third base is manned by the speedy Chone Figgins (.286, .718, 24 SB). The Rats have
perhaps the best
catching tandem in baseball with Joe Mauer
(.311, .870) backed up by lefty-masher Ronny
Paulino. (.378/.411/.628 vs LHP). In
center field is another off-season acquisition, Ichiro
Suzuki (.317, .731, 28 SB) flanked by a pair of sluggers in Vlad
Guerrero (.342, .983 in 237 AB with Las Vegas) and Matt Holliday (.309, .916). Guerrero,
picked up in a July blockbuster deal, is a huge improvement over the
various players they'd out there earlier this season -- Jeremy
Hermida (.734 OPS), Ryan Church (.686), Jonny Gomes (.666) and Hunter
Pence (.573), giving the Rat Pack a
formidable lineup from top to bottom. Perhaps because they have such a
loaded starting lineup, Las Vegas has the shallowest bench
in the post-season, carrying just 1B/3B Alex Gordon
(.289, .820 in 97 AB) and 1B Lyle Overbay
(3-for-17). Neither is likely to see
much action in the playoffs. The Rats fared slightly better
against lefties (.696 W%, .306 BA, .853 OPS) than against righties
(.638 W%, .297 BA, .837 OPS).
The Rats have three players in triple
digits when it comes to runs created (Pena at 147.1, Thome at 134.3 and
Holliday at 128.8); the Hitmen have just one, center fielder Nick Markakis, and he just barely made it (100.7
RC). Markakis, the batter acquired in the much-debated trade for Alex Rodriguez, put up solid but not A-Rodian
numbers (.289/.363/.447, 45 2B, 16 HR, 95 R, 70 RBI), although the
bottom line is Markakis is still playing with Rodriguez is at home with
Madonna. But even Markakis would
likely agree that the team's most fearsome hitter is 1B/DH Ryan Howard (.253, .896 OPS), who smashed 49 HR for
122 RBIs. Howard used to be bothered by southpaws, but those days are
behind him (1.029 OPS in 101 AB); in fact, he was more productive
against lefties than righties (.863 OPS). At second base, the Hitmen
platoon Robinson Cano (.272, .779 vs RHP) and Howie Kendrick (.257, .596 vs LHP), and at short,
the duties are split between David Eckstein
(.286, .718 vs RHP) and Yunel Escobar (.310,
.737 vs LHP). Earlier in the year, the team had played Mark Reynolds at third base, but he just couldn't
hit (.216, .644) and eventually lost his job to Aubrey
Huff (.267, .725). In the outfield, Markakis is flanked in the
outfield by Carlos Lee (.263 BA, .677 OPS) and
Brad Hawpe (.248, .828). The 1B/DH
spot -- whichever one Howard isn't occupying at the moment -- is
another platoon with Dmitri Young (.309, .851
vs RHP) and Billy Butler (.318, .908 vs LHP).
Behind the plate is iron man Russell Martin
(.259, .746), who is second in the DMBL with 149 games caught this
year. When he does need a breather, the backup is veteran Ramon Hernandez (.293, .776 in 58 AB). With all
those platoons, there's not much room for a bench other than Reynolds,
but Escobar can play second or third as well short, and Huff can play
either infield corner. Statistically, the Hitmen put up almost exactly
the same numbers against lefties or righties (.264, .755 vs LHP; .263,
.753 vs RHP), but the results are a lot different -- they're 21-20
against lefties, but 66-55 against righties.
While the Hitmen have allowed the
second-fewest runs this year, their rotation is more about depth. In
fact, it's tough to say who will start Game
1. The Opening Day starter was the other guy acquired in the A-Rod
trade, Dan Haren -- but he didn't have a great
year (12-12, 4.80 ERA, 12.8 R/9, .545 QS%). The best pitcher may have
been John Lackey (15-9, 3.71 ERA, 12.0 R/9),
although his .469 QS% isn't very impressive. Veteran C.C. Sabathia went 2-0 in three starts against
Vegas this year; his overall numbers (13-17, 4.69 ERA, 12.1 R/9) aren't
as good as Lackey's but he did lead the team with a .563 QS%. Then
there's the young guns, Justin Verlander
(16-12, 4.84 ERA, 12.7 R/9, .485 QS%) and Felix
Hernandez (7-9, 4.94 ERA, 12.3 R/9, .519 QS%). Each has
overwhelming stuff but also the inconsistency usually found in young
hurlers. Pitching coach Brien Taylor has yet
to tip his hand as to who will be getting the ball in Game 1.
There's a different problem in Sin City, as
the Rats have two guys who deserve the ball in the first game -- A.J. Burnett (15-3, 3.47 ERA, 11.8 R/9) and Erik Bedard (16-4, 4.19 ERA, 11.7 R/9). Each was picked up during
the off-season trading spree and would love to endear himself to his
new fans with a big win in Game 1. But the third starter
--
and fourth if necessary -- is a mystery. Will they go with young gun in
Chris Young (12-11, 4.95 ERA, 13.5
R/9) or Tim
Lincecum (10-6, 5.83 ERA, 14.1 R/9)? Or turn to a veteran in Orlando
Hernandez (10-7, 5.44 ERA, 12.1 R/9) or Josh
Beckett (5-2, 5.02 ERA, 12.5 R/9 in 10 starts with Las Vegas)?
Beckett,
acquired at the trade deadline in the hope straightening out the back
end of the rotation, struggled at first but has been pitching
brilliantly recently, going 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 16 Ks in 14.2 IP
over his last two starts. The guy the Rat Pack wants most of all is Rich
Harden, but he's sitting out this year as he rehabs for a huge
comeback in 2009.
The Rat Pack has a deep and talented
bullpen that just kept getting better as the season went on. The closer is Joe Nathan, picked up from the Bushslappers in
July. Overall, Nathan has a 3.83 ERA, 11.1 R/9 and 101 K in 87.0 IP,
but he hasn't looked quite that dominant in a Rat Pack uniform (0-4, 10
SV, 4 BS, 5.85 ERA). Nathan's arrival bumped Carlos
Marmol (8-3, 19 SV, 4.95 ERA, 12.5 R/9) to
a setup role, which he shares with lefty Rafael
Perez (2.82 ERA, 12.5 R/9 in 22.1 IP with Las Vegas) who came from
the
Cutters at the deadline. The bullpen's utility man is Rafael Betancourt (11-2, 7 SV, 2.57 ERA, 8.1 R/9,
9 BB, 113 K in 105.0 IP), who has quietly had an awesome year. Fighting
for space in the crowded 'pen are
righties Brian Wolfe (3-0, 1 SV, 3.16 ERA, 8.8
R/9) and Pat
Neshek (5-3, 1 SV, 4.39 ERA, 10.6 R/9) and lefties Joe Beimel (4-1, 6 SV, 4.09 ERA, 16.4 R/9), Damaso Marte (1-3, 2 SV, 5.21 ERA, 14.9 R/9) and Eric
O'Flaherty (1-0, 1 SV, 4.91 ERA, 12.3 R/9).
The Rats have one of the league's best
bullpens, but Hillsborough's might be as good -- maybe even better. The closer is Japanese
League veteran Takashi Saito (3-2, 28 SV, 2.07
ERA, 8.2 R/9, 105 K in 78.1 IP), with set up work from lefty Justin Hampson (3-3, 2 SV, 2.84 ERA, 12.3 R/9)
and righty Heath Bell (6-2, 3 SV, 2.91 ERA,
12.2 R/9). The mop-up work is handled by Jeremy
Accardo (9-2, 4 SV, 3.26 ERA, 11.3 R/9) and Peter
Moylan (2-4, 1 SV, 4.12 ERA, 13.0 R/9). Minor leaguer J.P. Howell got a cup of coffee at the end of the
season (6.1 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K) but isn't likely to be a
post-season factor. So who has the better 'pen? Hillsborough ranked 3rd
with a .750 save percentage; Las Vegas was 7th at .654.
On defense, the Rats are sure-handed but
not particularly flashy. They lead the league in fielding percentage
(.988),
but they're last in double plays, second to last in total chances per
game, and their catchers are 10th in throwing out baserunners. The
Hitmen rank right around the middle in terms of defense; their .984
fielding percentage is tied for 6th, they're 9th in double plays, 2nd
in total chances and 5th in catching base stealers.
The bottom line:
In the 11-year
history of the Wild Card Round, the No. 6 has pulled off the upset just
three times. But the trash talking between these two teams this
off-season makes this no ordinary #3 vs #6. The Hitmen are a dangerous
adversary with a lot to prove, and they've shown the ability to win in
Las Vegas given their 4-2 record there this regular season. But the
Rats were built for the post-season, as evidenced by their one-two
punch at the top of the rotation, their deep and flexible lineup and
all those power arms in their 'pen. After sacrificing as much as they
did to rebuild for 2008, another first-round exit from the post-season
would be nothing short of a disaster for Owner/GM/Manager Wickstrom,
who might have no choice but to fire himself if he can't get the job
done against Hillsborough. Everyone loves the underdog, but we just
can't see how the Las Vegas Rat Pack
don't come out on top and advance to the second round.
Philadelphia Endzone
Animals (#4, 96-66) vs. D.C. Bushslappers (#5, 88-74)
The No. 4 vs. No. 5
series is usually a coin flip between two closely matched teams. In
fact, since the three-tiered playoff format was adopted in 1997, the
No. 4 team has won just 3 times, while the No. 5 has pulled off the
"upset" eight times! But this year the Philadelphia
Endzone Animals roared into the post-season with an 8-game lead
over the Bushslappers, and in fact had won eight out of their last 10
games (including three in a row to close out the season). The D.C. Bushslappers, on the other hand, had won
just three out of their last eight and came within a game of finishing
6th instead of 5th. But these two teams had played each other closely
all season long, with Philly winning the regular season series 7 games
to 6. Interestingly, however, D.C. went 4-3 in Philly while Philly went
4-2 in D.C. -- so maybe home-field advantage for the Animals isn't all
it's cracked up to be.
These two teams have never met in the post-season, but they do have one
thing in common: A distaste for Matthew's Mighty
Men of Marietta, who knocked each team out of the post-season last
year! The Mites took out the No. 6 Bushslappers in four games in the
first round, then pulled off the upset over the No. 2 Endzone Animals
in a thrilling seven-game series. Last year was D.C.'s first playoff
appearance; now they're back for the second time in just the third year
of their existence. The Animals had been here once before, as the No. 4
seed in 2005, but were knocked out in five games by the Honolulu Sharks.
Owner Anthony "Bocci"
Pucci's Endzone Animals made a run at defending their Morris
Division
title early on, but settled into 4th place after Vancouver ripped off
an 11-game winning streak in mid-July. Their high water mark was a
47-29 record at the All-Star Break, when they were just a game behind
the Iron Fist; they went a fourth-best 49-37 (.570 W%) the rest of the
way, but still finished 8 games back, exactly as far behind Vancouver
as they were ahead of D.C. was from Philly. The Animals are the
balanced team in the post-season, with the fourth-best offense (971
runs scored) and the fourth-best defense (785 runs allowed). Somehow
that works out to the third-best run differential (+186). Oddly enough,
they also had the same exact record at home and on the road -- 48-33.
You can't blame D.C. fans if they thought
owner Jamie Landsman was giving up on the 2008
season when he traded Joe Nathan and Carl Crawford, two of the team's best players, in
deals seemingly aimed at the future. But maybe Landsman knew what he
was doing -- before the deals the Bushslappers were 56-52 (.519 W%),
and after them they went 32-22 (.592 W%). "Crawf and Nate were jerks,"
confided one of the D.C. batters. "Once they were out of here everybody
could relax and just play ball." The Slappers had the league's
sixth-best offense (819 runs scored) and third-best pitching (780 runs
allowed), for a fifth-best run differential (+39). They did a lot of
that damage against left-handed pitchers -- they were the second-best
team against southpaws (.737 W%), behind only the Tampa Bay Plunkers
(.742 W%). Against righties, the Bushslappers were an unplayoff-like
60-64 (.484 W%).
The Endzone Animals had one of the
strongest offenses in the regular season, ranking right up there with
the Iron Fist and Rat Pack in the annual "best lineup other than the
Sugar Bears" competition. The Animals were definitely helped by their
home park -- which may be even better than Newark's for hitters -- but
there's no denying this is a formidable lineup. In fact, when Albert Pujols
(.283, .851 OPS, 48 2B, 31 HR, 121 RBI) is your fourth-best hitter, you
know opposing pitchers are in trouble.
Pujols had, by his lofty standards, a down year, but the first baseman
still has the ability to terrify any pitcher -- especially
left-handers (.348/.411/.593 vs LHP). With Pujols occupying first base,
off-season acquisition Mark Teixeira (.299, 32
HR, 110 RBI) handles
the DH duties, quite a pair in the middle of the lineup. But even
Pujols and Teixeira have been overshadowed this year by the Kevin
Mitchell Award-caliber season being produced by Magglio
Ordonez. The 33-year-old outfielder had by far the best
season of his seven-year career, hitting .359 (.420 OBP, .565 SLG) with
50 2B, 29 HR, 130 R and 126 RBI. The other outfield spots are platoons,
J.D. Drew (.275/.382/.456 vs RHP)
splitting center with Chris B. Young
(.316/.391/.789 vs LHP) and with Adam Dunn
(.242/.333/.573 vs RHP) and Gary Sheffield
(.295/.400/.693 vs LHP) sharing a corner. Recently, however, Dunn has
piled up so many strikeouts (51 in 133 AB) that even manager Steve Balboni and hitting coach Pete Incaviglia -- who had quite a few whiffs
themselves during their playing days -- have become frustrated. Toward
the end of the season, Sheffield saw more righties at
Dunn's expense, showing a lot more discipline but less power
(.264/.351/.461 vs RHP). We'll see how they handle the platoons with
D.C.'s all right-handed starting rotation... The catcher is
former Mighty Man Jorge Posada, acquired this
off-season in a blockbuster move. There were rumors that Posada wanted
out of Philly earlier this year, but if he's unhappy with the team,
he's not showing it at the plate (.315, .950 OPS, 42 2B, 30 HR, 106 R,
102 RBI). Posada led the DMBL with most games at catcher this year
(151!), so it's unlikely you'll see much of his little-used back-up, Dioner Navarro (18-for-36, 1 HR, 9 RBI). The best
chance to catch a glimpse of Navarro is to look for Posada -- the kid
follows him around like a puppy, soaking up as much information as he
can from the veteran catcher. If Posada walks at the end of
this season, expect to see the 24-year-old Navarro take on a starting
role next year. Remember, you read it here first! While Pujols,
Teixeira, Ordonez and Posada do the heavy lifting, the team's sparkplug
is SS Jimmy Rollins (.266, .820 OPS, 45 2B, 21
3B, 22 HR, 113 R, 97 RBI, 17 SB). Joining Pujols and Rollins in the
infield is 2B Kelly Johnson (.271, .830 OPS, 8
HR, 41 RBI in 292 AB with Philly) and 3B Mike
Lamb (.292, .819 OPS, 14 HR, 51 RBI). Johnson, the 10th pick
overall by Hoboken, was acquired in June and immediately plugged what
had been a revolving door at second base, with Aaron
Hill (.223), Mark Loretta (.188) and Luis Castillo (0-for-10) all having previously
failed to hold down the job. Lamb had started the year in a reverse
platoon with fan favorite Scott Rolen, with
the left-handed Lamb facing lefties and the right-handed Rolen facing
righties. But Rolen's struggles at the plate (.269, .650 OPS)
eventually opened the door for Lamb to play full time, leaving Rolen as
a veteran bat on the bench. The other reserves are late call-ups from
the minors -- veteran shortstop Orlando Cabrera
(2-for-4) and rookie
outfielder Adam Lind (0-for-3). Philly was one
of the few teams to post a better record against righty starters (.600
W%) than lefties (.568 W%)... but the Bushslappers don't have a
southpaw starter anyway.
The Bushslappers don't bring as much fire
power as the Endzone Animals -- they ranked 9th in home runs -- so they
have to find another way to beat you. Earlier this year, that was on
the basepaths. The Slappers easily led the league in stolen bases with
118 -- but they traded away 35 of those stolen bases in Carl Crawford. Crawford led the team with 35 SBs
in just 93 games, was also their most successful basestealer, with an
.833 SB%. Without Crawford, the team's stolen base percentage is an
awful 68 percent. But let's remember, with Crawford this team had a
.519 W%; after they traded him, they posted a .592 W%, so they figured
a way to win without him. We're just not sure how. The team's top
hitter is veteran 2B Jeff Kent, who led the
regulars in BA (.314), OBP (.379), SLG (.511), OPS (.890) and RC
(117.2). Kent gets protection
in the lineup from 1B/DH Derrek Lee (.306, 23
HR, 82 RBI), RF Matt Kemp (.289, 18 HR, 94
RBI) and C Brian McCann (.304,
44 2B, 68 RBI). The team rotates Lee between 1B and DH, with Scott Hatteberg (.304/.366/.447 vs RHP) starting
at first against righties and Sammy Sosa
(.268/.364/.482 vs LHP) the DH against lefties. The third base spot is
another platoon, with Adrian Beltre
(.274/.308/.468 vs RHP) and Ryan Zimmerman
(.434/.508/.802 vs LHP). Three of the team's most exciting hitters have
been hit or miss this season and really need to step it up on the
post-season. CF Carlos Beltran leads the team
in home runs (30) and RBIs (114), but his .257 BA and .772 OPS won't
put him in the discussion for the Kevin
Mitchell Award. Meanwhile, Crawford's replacement in left, free
agent pick-up Ryan Freel, has a respectable
.270 BA but his .291 OBP and 5:1 K:BB ratio are just atrocious for a
lead-off hitter. He has no power either (.312 SLG). His best asset is
his speed -- he has 12 steals in 15 attempts -- but as the old saying
goes, you can't steal first base. But the biggest disappointment of all
has been SS Jose Reyes, who has been a
complete disaster at the plate (.222 BA, .635 OPS). With Crawford gone,
Reyes is now the team's leading basestealer with 26 swipes, but he's
been caught 16 times (.619 SB%). Reyes spent much of September working
on his swing with hitting coach Howard Johnson
and finished the year going 8-for-17 in his final five games. If Reyes
can get back on track, the Bushslappers become a far more dangerous
team. The bench provides a lot of veteran leadership, with backup
catcher Paul Lo Duca (.287 in 164 AB), OF Cliff Floyd (.348 in 66 AB), 1B/DH Jason Giambi (3-for-22) and 2B Dan Uggla (2-for-3). Utility infielder Ramon Vazquez is eligible for the post-season
but hasn't played a game in the bigs during the regular season. As we
noted earlier, the Bushslappers were far more formidable against
lefties (.314/.373/.536, .737 W%) than against righties
(.272/.322/.422, .484 W%).
Just as the D.C. offense won't provide a
candidate for The
Mitch, their starting rotation doesn't have anyone in the
discussion for the Ben
McDonald Award. Their unquestioned ace is Kelvim
Escobar, who led the team in wins (16), ERA (4.12), strikeouts
(202), innings (222.2) and quality start percentage (.576), and his
12.7 R/9 was second among D.C. starters. He faced the Endzone Animals
twice this year and went 1-1, posting a 2.87 ERA and 8.0 R/9 while
fanning 11 in 15.2 IP. He certainly will get the ball as many times as
he can in the short series. But what happens when he can't pitch? You
can rule out Shawn Hill (11-9, 5.12 ERA, 13.3
R/9, .448 QS%) and John Maine (13-11, 6.07
ERA, 15.5 R/9, .333 QS%); that would leave Derek
Lowe (12-9, 4.71 ERA, 13.8 R/9, .438 QS%) or Shaun Marcum
(11-8, 4.93 ERA, 12.4 R/9, .469 QS%). Marcum would appear to have
better numbers, plus Lowe was pounded in three starts against Philly
(14.54 ERA, 24.9 R/9 in 8.2 IP). Marcum wasn't overpowering in his
three starts, but at least he gave the Bushslappers a chance to win
(4.74 ERA, 11.8 R/9 in 19.0 IP). "Escobar and Marcum and pray for rain"
doesn't sound snappy but it will likely be the Bushslappers' motto in
the first round.
Hmm... no Mitch, no McDonald, what do the Bushslappers
have going for them? Oh yeah... The Eck! Closer Jonathan Papelbon
won the Dennis
Eckersley Rolaids Reliever of the Year Award after leading the
league in relief points (as well as saves). Papelbon posted a 1.34
ERA and 7.8 R/9 while striking out an astounding 128 batters in 87.1
innings (and walking just 23). If the Bushslappers have a lead going
into the 9th, they can count on the Pap to nail it down -- he blew just
3 saves this year. But while Papelbon may have been the best in the
business this year, his supporting cast can be shakey at times,
especially after the mid-season trade of Joe Nathan.
The setup work is handled by veterans Mike Timlin (6-4, 2 SV, 3.91 ERA, 10.2 R/9) and Darren Oliver (4-8, 2 SV, 4.42 ERA, 13.9 R/9),
with help from Ron Mahay (2-2, 1 SV, 3.22,
14.9), Bob Howry (0-2, 3 SV, 3.62, 12.4) and Aaron Heilman (3-2, 2 SV, 4.25, 12.3). Their
bend-but-don't-break approach appears to have worked -- the
Bushslappers as a team ranked 4th in SV% (.714) and 6th in IR% (.297).
This off-season the Endzone Animals traded some pitching depth for
offense, giving up Erik Bedard and Francisco
Rodriguez for Teixeira. But hey, when you have Brandon
Webb and Johan Santana, a third starter is
a luxury... right? Not exactly. In
fact, Philly's post-season rotation is just as much a mystery as
D.C.'s. Webb had a solid year (17-10, 4.11 ERA, 12.4 R/9, .636 W%) and
looks like a lock to start Game 1. As for Santana, he really struggled
in Philly's new homer happy
ballpark (13-11, 5.23 ERA, 13.0 R/9, .394 QS%) -- and remember, D.C.
has just hammered lefties this year. It would take chutzpah for
pitching coach Dave Righetti to suggest that
Santana shouldn't be in the rotation. What are the other options? It
comes down to youngsters Kyle Kendrick (3-5,
4.63 ERA, 13.8 R/9, .455 QS%), Matt Cain
(13-5, 4.80 ERA, 14.3 R/9, .419 QS%), Yovani
Gallardo
(11-9, 5.76 ERA, 13.6 R/9, .350 QS%) and Jay
Bergman (7-7, 5.38 ERA, 14.0 R/9, .429 QS%), or maybe
mid-season acqusition Aaron Harang (3-3, 5.10
ERA, 13.8, .300 QS%), acquired from Blue
Ridge. None really inspires much confidence... maybe Santana isn't such
a bad idea after all. No matter what, however, the Animals will need a
third starter, if not a fourth.
There's no shortage of power arms in the Philly 'pen. The closer is J.J. Putz (7-3, 26 SV, 3.28 ERA, 9.4 R/9, 82 K in
74.0 IP), assisted by veteran former closers Chad
Cordero (9-1, 2 SV, 3.16 ERA, 11.6 R/9, 102 K in 77.0 IP) and Jason Isringhausen (2-3, 2 SV, 3.38 ERA, 10.3 R/9
in 30 games with Philly). Even late-season call-up Octavio
Dotel has looked impressive in limited duty (1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K
in 5.1 IP). Young gun Jon
Rauch (3-1, 1 SV, 3.01 ERA, 10.5 R/9, 83 K in 89.2 IP) is the top
setup man, assisted by Justin
Speier (3-3, 2 SV, 4.66 ERA, 11.4 R/9, 37 K in 38.2 IP); the
clean-up work usually falls to Jason
Frasor (3.95 ERA, 12.2 R/9, 26 K in 27.1 IP). Did you notice
there's no lefty in the 'pen? The Animals
used their first pick (#19 overall) in this year's draft on southpaw Rafael Perez, but gave up on him after he posted
a 5.55 ERA in 36 appearances; he was traded to the Cutters and
subsequently wound up in the post-season anyway, as a member of the Rat
Pack. But Philly's righties do just fine against lefties -- in fact,
Putz and Izzy have better numbers against lefties than they do against
righties.
The
Animal players are better known for their bats than their gloves, but
they rank among the top five teams in fielding percentage (.984), and
around
the middle of the pack when it comes double plays (153).
However, the catchers are second worst at throwing out
baserunners (.824 SB%), and opponents run on them more than any other
team in the
league -- setting up an interesting showdown with the Bushslappers, who
run more than any other team (but also are caught more than anyone else
either). D.C. is tied with Philly in fielding percentage (.984) and
right behind them in double plays (152); they rank dead last in
throwing out baserunners (.862 SB%).
The bottom line: It
will be interesting to see the battle between Philly's shallow starting
rotation and D.C.'s limited lineup. If there's an offense the Endzone
Animals can shut down, it's this one; if there's a rotation the
Bushslapper batters can light up, it's that one. On the other hand,
D.C.'s starters will likely have a tougher time with Philly's potent
offense. The two bullpens are fairly evenly matched; D.C. has the
better closer, but Philly has a lot more depth. The Bushslappers can be
pesky, but these games could quickly turn into slugfests, and the
Endzone Animals have the heavier hitters. We think the Philadelphia Endzone Animals will bash their
way past the Bushslappers and reach the second round.
Newark Sugar Bears
(#1, 114-48) and Vancouver Iron Fist (#2, 104-58)
Meanwhile, the
division champions Newark Sugar Bears and Vancouver Iron Fist get to sit out this
round. It's the fifth time in league history these two teams have won
their respective divisions in the same season, which ties Newark and
the Arkansas Golden Falcons for most division
title pairings... The Sugar Bears will face the sixth-seeded Hillsborough Hired Hitmen if they pull off the
upset; if
not, the Iron Fist face
the third-seeded Las Vegas Rat Pack and
the Sugar Bears face the winner of the show-down between the
fourth-place Philadelphia Endzone Animals and
the
fifth-place D.C. Bushslappers. During
the
bye week, the Sugar Bears
will stay in shape by playing one of their bitter rivals, the LaCrescent Apple Jacks
of the Vintage
Base Ball Association. "We shan't allow those Newarkers and their
inferior puffed wheat break-fast cereal to intimidate us," said Apple
Jack shortstop Mordecai Peckinpaugh. "The boys
will all cry Huzzah! Huzzah! Huzzah! for old LaCrescent!" Meanwhile,
the Iron Fist face an even bigger challenge as they take Will Power Fitness from the Youth Baseball League of New Haven. "We'll see how
good this kid Jericho Scott really is," Iron
Fist slugger David Ortiz said.
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