Games 1, 2, 5 and 7 are home games
for
the higher seeded team in this best-of-7 series. Injuries are turned
off
for the playoffs, meaning a player can be injured only for that
particular
game, but can return for the next game. Pitching rotations are on a
four-man
skip rotation, meaning the fourth starter will be skipped if the first
starter is ready to pitch. Since there are off days after games 2, 4, 5
and 6,
game 1 starters could be available in game 4 on three days' rest.
Benched
starters can be moved to the bullpen.
The Rubber Match
For the first time
in DMBL history, the same two teams are facing off
in the World Series for a third straight year: The Morris Division
champion Arkansas Golden Falcons and the
Hanover Division champion Newark Sugar Bears.
After surviving Second Round
scares from plucky underdogs, these two heavyweight veterans are
ready for the
main event. Will the Golden Falcons win a second-straight league
championship
for the second time in their illustrious history? Or will the Sugar
Bears
avenge last year's defeat and take their third title in the past four
seasons?
It's baseball like it oughta be as the league's two best teams face
each
other to cap off one of the most exciting post-seasons in DMBL history!
By virtue of having one more win, the
Golden Falcons (100-62) will get home-field advantage in the series.
The extra game in Quisenberry Memorial Stadium could be a huge factor
for the Golden Falcons, as the Sugar Bears posted the league's best
home record (.679 W%) but ranked 4th on the road (.543). But were the
Falcons really the league's best? Their +148 run-differential ranked
3rd, far behind Newark's league-best +222.
And the Golden Falcons ranked 2nd, not 1st, in just about every
category: runs allowed (698), home record (52-29), road record (48-33),
division record (48-30) and record against lefty starters (39-21).
Second-best is not a good omen for a World Series match-up!
Offense: The Best One vs. The Best
Nine?
The Sugar Bears' offense has long
been
known as "the Crunch with Punch" and for good reason -- they've
out-scored
every other team in each of the past five seasons! This year, the Sugar
Bears
led the league in just about every offensive category: runs (1008),
batting
average (.285), on-base percentage (.372), slugging percentage (.470),
OPS
(.842), walks (774), doubles (387), runs created (1026.1), total
average
(.838) and total bases (2691). The Golden Falcons, on the other hand,
ranked
4th in OBP (.344), 5th in runs scored (846), 6th in team batting
average
(.277) and OPS (.780), 9th in doubles (279), tied for 9th in home runs
(193)
and had the 3rd-most strikeouts (1125). And while they did rank first
in
stolen bases (71), their .670 SB% rate was third-worst in baseball. No
contest,
right? Except the Golden Falcons proved in the second round that this
offense
can score enough to win as long as they have Barry
Bonds
in the middle of the lineup. Bonds won the second round's OmahaSteaks.com
Batter of the Week Award after hitting .364 with a 1.455 OPS, 4 HR,
8 R and 5 RBI; the rest of the offense combined to hit .202 with a
paltry .276 OBP, .298 SLG (.574 OPS).
So
manager George Brett will put Bonds in the
middle of the lineup, and... then what? Brett and batting coach Brian Harper have looked to get production
from anyon else, largely through large-scale platooning. There are just
two
regulars, Bonds and Lance Berkman (.267, .815
OPS,
19 HR, 64 RBI in 563 PA); everything else is a part-time job. The
catching
duties are shared by Jason Phillips (vs RHP:
.234,
.298 OBP, .332 SLG) and Keith Osik (vs LHP:
.415,
.466 OBP, .551 SLG); first base is manned by Andres
Galarraga (vs RHP: .285, .323 OBP, .351 SLG) and Ken Harvey (vs LHP: .377, .373 OBP, .582 SLG);
second
base by Orlando Hudson (vs RHP: .287, .329
OBP,
.400 SLG) and Ronnie Belliard (vs LHP: .347,
.423
OBP, .559 SLG); third base by Sean Burroughs
(vs
RHP: .253, .305 OBP, .367 SLG) and Wes
Helms (vs LHP: .301, .389 OBP, .602 SLG); shortstop by Julio Lugo (vs RHP: .266, .313 OBP, .386 SLG)
and Adam Everett (vs LHP: .305, .346 OBP,
.380 SLG); center
field by Kenny Lofton (vs RHP:
.303, .357 OBP, .467 SLG) and Corey Patterson (vs
LHP: .253, .265 OBP, .411 SLG) and right field is a "reverse platoon"
of righty Juan Gonzalez (vs RHP: .255,
.289 OBP, .523 SLG) and lefty Larry Walker (vs
LHP:
.299, .399 OBP, .429 SLG).
Top
5 Greatest Offenses
in the DMB Era (1997-present)
|
team |
year |
runs
scored |
TB+BB
|
OPS |
Newark |
1998 |
1098 |
3668
|
.872 |
Newark |
2000 |
1079 |
3756 |
.886 |
Newark |
2001 |
1059 |
3626 |
.871 |
Vatican |
2001 |
1049
|
3550 |
.861 |
Newark |
2004 |
1008 |
3465
|
.842 |
The Sugar Bears offense is a two-step
process: No. 1, take. No. 2, rake. The lineup led the league in walks
as well as
in runs scored, the fifth straight year that the Brick City Bombers led
the league in offense. This year's Sugar Bear squad also was just the
fifth
in the modern era (1997-present) to break the 1,000-runs scored
plateau.
For the past four World Series, Don Mattingly
has
been able to fill in his lineup card around the core of Manny Ramirez (.295, 28 HR, 112 RBI), Bobby Abreu (.280, .389 OBP, 23 2B, 89 R), Chipper Jones (.266, 20 HR, 70 RBI), Jim Thome (.257, 34 HR, 96 RBI) and Mark McLemore (.332, .842 OBP in 305 PA).
But this year, the lineup has some added pop with rookies Marcus Giles (.319, .376 OBP, .540 SLG, 49 2B,
110
R), Hideki Matsui (.299, .804 OPS, 35 2B, 67
RBI in 358 AB) and Jeff DaVanon (.318, .889
OPS in 301 PA). Battting coach Jim Eisenreich
also
has given new life to veterans Bill Mueller
(.300,
.885 OPS, 44 2B, 121 RBI) and Greg Myers
(.310,
1.019 OPS in 116 AB with Newark; .282, .823 OPS, 20 HR, 76 RBI
overall),
and with the offense Carlos Guillen added from
the
nine hole in the second round (.353, .476 OBP, 1 2B, 4 R), there's no
doubt
that this is the league's most potent lineup from top to bottom.
Starting Pitching: Rookies vs.
Veterans
The Sugar Bears' pitching staff had
one thing going for it this year: They didn't have to face the Sugar
Bear hitters! Imagine the kind of damage that lineup would do to a
pitching staff that ranked 6th in ERA (4.28), 7th in runs allowed
(786), 8th in K/9 (6.3) and tied for 8th
in H/9 (9.8). Compare that to a Falcons staff that was 2nd in team ERA
(3.86), strikeouts (1309), K/9 (8.0) and shutouts (18); 3rd in R/9
(12.2), H/9 (8.7) and QS% (.512); tied for 3rd in HR/9 (1.1); and 4th
in BB/9 (3.1).
Newark pitching coach Mike
Grace, who became the first rookie to win the Bud Black Most Valuable Player Award
after the 1997 World Series, hopes that feat will be duplicated this
year. In what is believed to be a post-season first, the Sugar Bears
went with an all-rookie rotation
in the second round -- Scot Shields (12-9,
5.05
ERA, 13.4 R/9), Jerome Williams (2-2, 3.96
ERA, 13.1 R/9 in 7 starts with Newark; 14-11, 5.16 ERA, 14.0 R/9
overall) and Eric DuBose (15-5, 4.05 ERA, 12.5
R/9) -- and will likely use the same rotation against Arkansas.
Shields, who started games 1, 4 and 7, will probably retain
the nominal title of "ace" since he had two good starts (games 1 and 7)
to compensate for the awful one (4); Williams and DuBose each had two
starts, one mediocre and one bad. Veterans Carl
Pavano (14-7, 4.92
ERA, 13.6 R/9), John Thomson (16-10, 4.27 ERA,
12.7 R/9), Randy Johnson (0-2, 25.07 ERA)
and Andy Pettitte (4-4, 5.69 ERA) are
unlikely to make an appearance.
The
Golden Falcons have two Ben McDonald
Award candidates in Pedro Martinez
(14-6, 3.30 ERA, 12.2 R/9) and Curt Schilling
(18-6, 3.83 ERA, 10.9 R/9), and both pitched brilliantly in the second
round, combining to go 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, with 8 BB and
31 K in 25.1 IP. For a third starter, pitching coach Bret Saberhagen had two more DMBL Hall of Fame
pitchers to choose from -- Kevin Brown (13-13, 4.72 ERA, 12.8 R/9) or Roger Clemens (9-9, 4.14 ERA, 12.3 R/9) -- but
instead he went with closer Byung-Hyun Kim,
who began preparing for the post-season conversion with five starts at
the end of the regular season (0-3, but 3.58 ERA, 11.0 R/9). Kim
actually closed out Game 1
but was used as a starter in games 3 and 7 (1-0, 2.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 4
BB, 12 K in 15.2 IP as a starter; 1.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H as a reliever). Kim
will likely again get the nod over Brown or Clemens, who each pitched
briefly in relief in the second round; but one of the veterans could
see action as a fourth starter, after southpaw C.C.
Sabathia (19-7, 4.78 ERA, 14.0 R/9) looked completely overmatched
in Game 4 (2.0 IP, 8 R, 6 H, 3 BB).
Relief Pitching and Defense
Offense goes to Newark; starting
pitching goes to Arkansas. But the two teams are just about even in the
third major area, relief pitching and defense. The Golden Falcons led
the league in winning percentage when ahead or tied after seven innings
(.887), in lowest percentage
of inherited runners who scored (.239), and in saves (56); they also
ranked 2nd in lowest BS% (.233)
and tied for 2nd in holds (48). They also led the league in winning
percentage when leading or tied after seven innings (.887). The Sugar
Bear 'pen ranked first in holds (51), 3rd in lowest percentage
of
inherited runners scored (.242) and winning percentage when ahead
or
tied after seven innings (.861), and 4th in lowest BS% (.268).
If Kim is in the starting rotation,
look for bullpen coach Trevor Hoffman to
employ a bullpen-by-committee. Octavio Dotel
(6-5, 7 SV, 4.31 ERA, 12.8
R/9, 40 BB, 93 K in 87.2 IP) and Brad Lidge
(6-1,
3 SV, 3.14 ERA, 12.4 R/9, 34 BB, 72 K in 71.2 IP) will likely share the
save opportunities, while Scott Williamson
(1-1, 3 SV, 0.88 ERA, 8.2 R/9,
11 BB, 36 K in 30.2 IP), Damaso
Marte (3-7, 3 SV, 3.81 ERA, 13.6 R/9, 23 BB, 52 K in 54.1 IP) and Tom Martin (3-2, 7 SV, 3.44 ERA, 11.1 R/9, 17 BB,
27 K in 34.0 IP) will do the middle-relief work. The Golden Falcons may
also use Clemens or Brown for middle relief again, as they did in the
second round.
Without Kim at the end of games,
the edge in the bullpen could go to Newark; Sugar Bear fans know that John
Smoltz will get the ball at the start of the 9th inning if their
team is ahead. Smoltz won his second straight Dennis Eckersley Reliever of the Year Award
-- just the second pitcher in history to accomplish that feat -- by
leading the league with 73 relief points (34 saves, 8 wins, 6
losses,
5 blown saves) and tying for the league lead in saves, while posting a
2.21 ERA, 9.7 R/9 and struck out 87,
against
just 12 walks, in 85.1 IP. He will be eager for a chance to bounce back
after his brutal second round against Honolulu (1-1, 1 SV, 2 BSV, 3 ER,
10 H, 0 BB, 2 K, 3.2 IP) nearly cost his team Game 7.
Setting him up is one of the deepest
bullpens
in baseball, with lefties Felix Heredia (1.53
ERA,
7.1 R/9) and Mike Stanton (3.48 ERA, 11.8 R/9)
and
righties Keith Foulke (3.20 ERA, 9.9 R/9) and Tim Spooneybarger (3.23 ERA, 11.8 R/9). The
garbage man is Jack Cressend (3.50 ERA, 10.4
R/9), who proved his importance to the team with four innings of
scoreless relief to win Game 4.
Neither team is great defensively,
but the Golden Falcons may have a slight edge. Not that they're very
good on defense -- Arkansas was tied for fifth worst (.981) in fielding
percentage and sixth worst in double plays (140). But the Sugar Bears
were dead last in fielding percentage (.976) and had the most errors
(149) of any team. The Golden Falcons' catchers were tied for 5th in
gunning down would-be base stealers, with opponents posting a .700 SB%;
Newark ranked 10th, with a .753 SB%. Perhaps out of necessity, Sugar
Bear pitchers were adept at keeping runners close, tying for the league
lead in pickoffs (8). But Newark's defense behind the plate improves
notably when veteran Paul Lo Duca takes over
in the late innings; he led the league in throwing out would-be
basestealers (.500 SB%).
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