The games 1, 2 and 5 -- if necessary --
will
be home games for the higher seeded team in this best-of-5 series.
Injuries
are turned off for the playoffs, meaning a player can be injured only
for
that particular game, but can return for the next game. Pitching
rotations
are on a four-man skip rotation, meaning the fourth starter will be
skipped
if the first starter is ready to pitch. Since there are off days off
games
2 and 4, some game 1 starters will be available in game 4 on three
days'
rest.
The No. 3 seeded Matthew's
Mighty Men of Marietta will take on the No. 6 seeded D.C. Bushslappers, and the No. 4 seeded Honolulu Sharks take on the No. 5 seeded Hoboken Cutters. (The two division winners each
have byes in this round.)
The top seed to survive this round will
take
on the No. 2 seed, the Morris Division champion Philadelphia
Endzone Animals; the lower-seeded survivor faces the Hanover
Division
winner, the top-seeded Newark Sugar Bears.
Amazingly, this is the first year in league
history that the playoffs don't involve any of the league's founding
teams. In fact, this year will be the first time a World Series will be
played that doesn't involve the Arkansas
Golden Falcons or the Vancouver Iron
Fist. Long live the revolution!
Matthew's Mighty Men of
Marietta (#3, 93-69) vs. D.C. Bushslappers (#6, 81-81)
Landsman Nation is
divided against itself! David Landsman and his
Marietta Mighty Men and Jamie Landsman and his D.C.
Bushslappers are facing off for the sixth intra-family post-season
series in league history -- but the first not involving Steve Zajac and Yaro Zajac,
a sibling rivalry that included the very first DMBL World
Series. The Bushies and Mites have never met in the post-season before;
in
fact, the Bushslappers are in the playoffs for the first time, in just
their second year of existence. The Mighty Men, on the other
hand, have been around for 12 seasons, and are in the playoffs for the
ninth time (and the fifth straight year). Interestingly enough, while
the Quad-M's had the much better regular season record, the two teams
split the season series, 6 to 6, with each team winning three games at
home and three on the road.
The Mighty Men are making their fifth
straight trip to the post-season, a run that began when they were still
located in Stanhope. Over that five-year stretch, this will be the
rubber match when it comes to first round series: They advanced to the
second round in 2003 (as the #3) and 2005 (#4), but were knocked out in
the first round in 2004 (as the #4) and 2005 (as the #5). Overall, in
seven wild card appearances, they've advanced three times. (They had a
bye in 2000 as the Hanover Division champion, and would go on to win
the World Series that year.) Manager Graig Nettles
led the Mighty Men into the
post-season as the league's top wild card this year after winning 11
out of their
final 14 games. Even though they have the league's third-best run
differential at +142, they actually have the league's second-best
offense (959 runs scored) and second-best defense (817 runs allowed).
Needless to say, they are a very balanced team with two top starting
pitchers, a very deep bullpen and a powerful lineup.
Manager Kevin Elster's
Bushslappers are the only team making
their post-season debut this year, and they're losing their cherry in
just their second year in the league. It's all the more shocking when
you consider the franchise Jamie purchased -- the Columbia
Crusaders/Rattlesnakes -- never made the post-season in their 14-year
existence. However, the pre-season pundits weren't shocked; the sims
saw them as the fourth-best team in the league, while the Swami
ranked them as the third-best team in the division. However, it should
be noted the Bushslappers limped into the post-season after going 13-26
over the final quarter of the season. In fact, while the Mighty Men won
7 out of their final 8 games, the Bushslappers lost 7 out of 8,
including four in a row to end the season, but backed into the playoffs
as the No. 6 seed because the seventh-place Arkansas
Golden Falcons ended the season by losing two out of three -- to
the Mighty Men! The 81-81 Slappers are just the fourth team in league
history to make the post-season without having a winning record; the Tijuana Banditos also went 81-81 in '02 and were
swept in the first round. (The two teams that reached the post-season
despite having losing records each qualified by winning a play-in game
-- the Hillsborough Destroyers, who went 81-82
in 2003, and the Banditos, who went 80-83
in 2004. And the team Tijuana beat to make the post-season? Columbia!)
The track record, as expected, isn't good for non-winning teams in the
post-season; the '02 Banditos and '03 Destroyers were knocked out in
the first round, but the '04 Banditos made it all the way to the
seventh game of Round 2. This year's Bushslappers will hope to emulate
their example. Their offense is mediocre, ranking 8th (847 runs
scored), while their pitching staff ranks fourth (848 runs allowed).
Their -1 run differential is sixth-best in the league. But their
numbers are somewhat skewed by a miserable start and finish to their
season. In fact, it's eeriely symmetrical: In the 2nd and 3rd quarters
of the season, they had the league's second-best record (24 games over
.500), third-best offense and second-best defense, for a second-best
+95 run differential; in the 1st and 4th quarters, they had the
league's worst record (24 games under .500), second-worst offense and
fourth-worst defense for a third-worst -96 run differential. Will the
real Bushslappers please stand up?
The Bushslappers' roller coaster season is
reflective of their hot-and-cold offense that features plenty of speed
and
power -- and strikeouts. The team's best player on offense is probably Carlos Beltran, who despite hitting .263 led the
team in OPS (.959) and runs created (121.9). Beltran slammed 30 doubles
and 40 home runs (109 R, 97 RBI) with 19 stolen bases, but also struck
out 121 times. He's joined in the outfield by Carl
Crawford
(.297, .745 OPS, 13 3B, 11 HR, 44 SB, 124 K) and the team's only
offensive
All-Star, Alfonso Soriano (.274, .839 OPS, 38
HR, 107 RBI, 22 SB, 163 K). Those three, plus SS Jose
Reyes (.252, .731 OPS, 24 3B, 52 SB) and 2B Luis
Castillo (.298, .706 OPS, 16 SB), will cause nightmares for
Marietta's catchers, who allowed the most passed balls this season and
also gave up the third-most stolen bases. The Bushslappers, on the
other hand, led the league with 182 stolen bases -- swiping nearly 100
more bags than the runner-up Golden Falcons (88). In fact, the only guy
on the team with at least 200 ABs
who didn't have a stolen base was DH Frank Thomas
(.254, .845 OPS, 34 HR, 84 RBI in 437 AB). Even the corner infielders
can run -- 1B Lyle Overbay (.279, .815 OPS, 38
2B, 23 HR, 99 RBI) went 8-for-8 in steals while 3B Ryan
Zimmerman (.265, .679 OPS, 7 HR, 34 RBI in 287 AB with D.C.) was
7-for-8 with D.C. and 10-for-12 overall... D.C.'s catcher, Ronny Paulino (.275, .616 OPS, 2 HR, 39 RBI),
also has an average arm, but veteran back-up Jason
Varitek (.233, .736 OPS, 3 HR, in 90 AB with D.C.) threw out 5 out
of 11 potential basestealers... The team's secret weapon might be
utilityman Esteban German (.350 BA, .952 OPS,
9 SB in 383 PA), who can start at second, third or outfield or come off
the bench. The other reserves are veterans Jeff
Kent (.291, .804 OPS in 220 PA) and Mike Lamb
(.269, .698 OPS in 273 PA).
While the Bushslappers have just
one player in triple-digits when it comes to runs created, the Mighty
Men have five (plus one guy at 99.1). The team's most intriguing player
on offense is journeyman Wes Helms, who had a
most unusual breakout year. The 31-year-old third baseman played just
one year previously
in the DMBL, hitting .243 (.768 OPS) in 152 ABs between Philly and
Arkansas in 2004, then spent the next two years playing in a Pakistani
semi-pro league. He must have picked up some pointers from the cricket
players as he came back to the DMBL this year as a hitting machine,
smacking 50 doubles, 24 triples and 27 home runs
(.311, .924 OPS). The 24 triples tied
the Modern Era record. It's all
the more amazing that he accomplished the feat despite having almost no
speed (just 2 SB this year) and an atrocious 45:150 BB:K ratio. Yet
somehow Helms just kept slashing balls into the gaps, tying for 2nd
in extra base hits (101) and finishing 5th in total bases (396) and 8th
in
hits (217). The Mites get their power from veteran DH Jim
Thome,
who reached the post-season 10 times as a Sugar Bear, but is here for
the first time in a different uniform. Thome, who usually sat against
lefties, hit .293 (1.062 OPS) with 39 HR, 115 R and 115 RBI. He also
drew 117 walks, including a team-high 25 intentional passes
(second-highest in baseball, behind only Carolina's Travis
Hafner with 34). Thome tied for the team lead in home runs with --
surprise! -- Ray Durham, who shockingly
slugged 39 dingers this year. Before this year, the most homers the
second baseman had in a season was 18. Overall, Durham hit .303 (.918
OPS) with 101 R
and 112 RBI. The other source of power came from a more expected
source, OF Wily Mo Pena (.277, .795 OPS, 31
HR,
126 RBI), though he also led the league with 225 strikeouts. The
table-setter is shortstop Derek Jeter
(.324, .818 OPS, 33 2B, 1197 R, 30 SB), who also is the team's only
stolen base threat. The rest of the lineup is primarily comprised of
line drive hitters: 1B Todd Helton
(.304, .853 OPS, 44 2B, 14 HR, 92 RBI); OF Matty
Diaz (.292, .699 OPS, 35 2B, 4 HR, 85 R); OF Brian
Giles (.288, .787 OPS, 25 2B, 10 HR, 49 RBI) and C Jorge Posada (.285, .878 OPS, 30 2B, 19 HR, 70
RBI). On the bench you'll find back-up catcher Bengie
Molina (.325, .900 OPS in 212 AB), outfielder Milton Bradley
(.282, .840 OPS in 209 AB), DH Jommy Gomes
(.276, .864 OPS in 76 AB), infielder Tony
Graffanino (.254, .595 OPS in 63 AB) and 3B Morgan
Ensberg
(3-for-27, 2 HR, 3 RBI).
The lineup may be all about balance, but the Marietta starting rotation is weighted
heavily toward its front end: Rookie sensation Francisco
Liriano, who appears to be on his way to winning the Listach and/or the
McDonald.
The 23-year-old lefty is an astounding 17-2 with a 2.35 ERA, 10.1 R/9
and 237 Ks in 179.2 IP; he led the league in ERA, H/9, K/9, QS% and
OPS, tied for the league lead in R/9, and ranked 2nd in Ks and W%. As
if the Bushslappers needed more bad news when it came to Liriano, D.C.
was just 26-29 against lefties this year, including a 1-2 record
against Liriano (although in that one win, they pounded him, in
Marietta, for 7 runs on 6 hits and 4 walks in just 2.1 innings).
Slotted into the No. 2 spot is veteran Mike Mussina,
who had his best season in five years (15-12, 3.69 ERA, 11.2 R/9). The
third spot is a toss-up between A.J. Burnett
(12-12, 4.26 ERA, 13.1 R/9) and Jeremy Sowers
(11-10, 5.33 ERA, 13.4 R/9). The Mites will probably carry both
pitchers just in case Liriano is too fatigued to go on three days' rest
in Game 4. However, it seems unlikely that they will waste a roster
spot on Woody Williams (5-4, 5.50 ERA, 13.7
R/9 in 13 starts with Marietta)
or Gil Meche (2-5, 6.96 ERA, 15.9 R/9).
The Bushslappers won't have as easy a time
figuring out its starting rotation, mostly because all the choices are
bad. You can build a case, pro or con, for any of them: Anibal Sanchez, the 2nd overall pick, went 7-13
with a 13.7 R/9, but his 4.57 ERA was the best in the D.C. rotation. John
Maine, the 9th pick, went 11-8 with a 4.94 ERA and 13.1 R/9; he led
all D.C. starters in W%. Derek Lowe (11-14,
5.02 ERA, 14.1 R/9) has plenty of playoff experience -- he's been here
four times, starting with the Austin Outlaws in 2000 -- and led the
team with a .500 QS%. Bronson Arroyo went 8-15
with a 5.00 ERA,
but his 13.1 R/9 tied with Maine for the team lead in starter's R/9.
And Kelvim Escobar, despite a 5.38 ERA and
14.1 R/9, led the team in wins (12-9). And just to muck things up even
more, the team could start Matt Morris, Mark Buehrle or Shaun Marcum;
all are on the roster and eligible at SP, though none got into a game
for the Bushslappers this year. However, it seems unlikely they'll even
consider using one of those three -- particularly Buehrle, as the
Mighty Men went 34-15 against lefties this year. We honestly don't have
a clue as to the Bushslappers' starting pitchers; if they stick to the
rotation they've used all year, they'll go with Arroyo-Sanchez-Lowe,
with Escobar or Maine as the if-needed fourth guy.
What the D.C. lacks in rotation aces it
makes up for with a two-headed monster in its bullpen: Jonathan Papelbon (7-1, 14 SV, 2.00 ERA, 9.0 R/9,
10.3 K/9) and Joe Nathan (7-7, 14 SV, 2.40
ERA, 8.1 R/9, 12.3 K/9). Either one would be the lights-out closer for
another team, but they have to share the job in D.C. That's a formidable
one-two punch in the 8th and 9th innings, but the problem -- especially
given D.C.'s weak rotation -- has been getting to them. The main setup
man is Hector Carrasco (5-4, 3 SV, 10 holds,
4.80 ERA, 10.8 R/9, .200 IR%), aided from the left side by Trever Miller (4.71 ERA, 14.1 R/9) and from the
right by Dan Wheeler (5.24 ERA, 13.7 R/9) and Josh Hancock (5.11 ERA, 13.3 R/9), but as you can
see from the numbers, all have had their problems this year. The front
office tried to address the problem by swinging a huge deal with Las
Vegas to bring in right-hander Chris Ray, but
he's been a disaster (13 ER, 18 H, 17 BB in 18.2 IP with D.C.); they
can only hope he rediscovers the form he had with the Rat Pack (3.66
ERA, 9.4 R/9).
Marietta also has a superb bullpen, but
going by the statistics anyway,
D.C. might be slightly better. The Bushslapper bullpen ranked second,
behind only Philly, with a .700 SV%, compared to .661 for Marietta;
they also had a .332 IR%, which ranked 8th -- but still better than
Marietta's .343. But fans of the Quad-Ms will dismiss those numbers and
just look at the names. While
the Bushslappers can brag about having two closers in their 'pen, the
Mites have three -- Mariano Rivera (6-4, 27 SV, 3.07 ERA, 10.3 R/9), Trevor Hoffman
(6-4, 4 SV, 4.25 ERA, 14.9 R/9) and B.J. Ryan,
who has been nearly unhittable since coming to Marietta in a mid-season
trade (3-0, 3 holds, 0.64 ERA, 7.7 R/9, 39 K in 28.0 IP). Just in case
another guy is needed, there's Rafael Betancourt
(4.13 ERA, 11.2 R/9), plus garbage man Brad
Hennessey (4.84 ERA, 13.8 R/9). Third-round pick Pat Neshek was banished to Triple-A after a rough
start to his DMBL career (5.58 ERA, 13.6 R/9) and it remains to be seen
if he'll be brought back to the post-season roster.
The bottom line:
Usually the No. 3 vs. No. 6 match-up is a cakewalk -- in the 10-year
history of the Wild Card Round, the No. 6 has pulled off the upset just
three times. But the Bushslappers are a very dangerous No. 6 seed given
their extraordinary success over the middle part of the season, when
they ranked among the best teams in baseball. Are they as good as they
were in the second and third quarter, or as bad as they were in the
first and fourth? That fifth game being played in Marietta would appear
to be a huge advantage for the Mighty Men, as the Bushslappers are a
miserable 36-45 (.444 W%) away from home. That, coupled with the fact
that the Mighty Men finished the season red hot and the Bushslappers
stumbled into the post-season ice cold, would usually be enough to
convince us to back the Mighty Men. But as history has shown us time
and time again, you never want to pick
sides in a civil war. There's more than 30 years of sibling rivalry at
stake here and the outcome will have ramifications that go far beyond
the baseball diamond. Can the Bushslappers' high-octane offense
disrupt Liriano enough to steal Game 1? That would appear to be the key
to this most intriguing series. But if we have to choose, we'll go with
the short odds and the big brother: Matthew's
Mighty Men of Marietta
will claim the Landsman Trophy and move on to the second round.
Honolulu Sharks (#4,
86-76) vs. Hoboken Cutters (#5, 86-76)
Usually
No. 4 vs. No. 5 is a match-up of two teams with similar records, but
this is ridiculous! The Honolulu Sharks and Hoboken Cutters played to identical 86-76
records, but the Sharks claimed the higher seed (and home field
advantage) by winning in the head-to-head tiebreaker. In the 10-year
history of the Wild Card round, this has happened just once before --
in 1998, when the Austin Outlaws and Jerusalem
Rabbis each went 94-68. (The Outlaws won the tiebreaker and were
the No. 4 seed, but the Rabbis pulled off the upset by winning Game 5
in Austin.) Adam Kozubal won the Ian Rintel Front
Office Executive of the Year Award after leading his Sharks to an
impressive 28-win turnaround from 2006, when they were the league's
worst team. Meanwhile, Mark Hrywna's Cutters
are finally back in the post-season after two narrow misses -- they
finished 7th in '05, and just 2 games out of what would have been a
four-way tie for the final playoff card spot in '06. The two teams have
never met before in the post-season; the Sharks, founded in 1997, made
it (always as the No. 5 seed) in '03, '04 and '05, while the Cutters
are here for just the second time in their seven-year history, having
reached the big dance in '02 as the No. 4 seed. The Cutters are still
looking for their first post-season win -- they were swept in '02 by
the Wanaque Wolverines -- while the Sharks
are 2-1 in the first round, advancing in '04 and '05. The Sharks won
the regular season series with the Cutters, 8 games to 5, going 5-3 in
Honolulu but 3-3 in Hoboken. Interestingly, seven of the 13 games were
decided by one run, showing how closely matched these two teams really
are.
Manager Gary Carter's
Sharks were in the thick of the playoff race all season long -- in
fact, at the midway point, they had the league's third-best record. But
they stumbled coming out of the gate after the All-Star Break, going
18-24 over the third quarter of the season, then reeled off 15 wins in
20 games to secure their post-season berth. They slowed down at the
very end, dropping 6 of their last 9, but their playoff tickets were
already printed at that point, and the focus was on getting healthy and
rested for the post-season. The Sharks make up for their mediocre
pitching staff and defense, ranking seventh with 867 runs allowed, with
a formidable offense -- they ranked third in runs scored (920), for a
fourth-best +53 run differential.
Cutter fans -- and manager Wally Backman -- popped a lot of Tums this year
as the team had to fight all season long for its trip to the
post-season: They had the
6th-best record at the end of the first quarter, were tied for 7th at
the
end of the first half, in 7th at the three-quarter mark, but then
went 24-17 over the final two months of the season to clinch a
playoff berth. In fact, as the Sharks coasted into the post-season, the
Cutters won three out of their final four games to tie for 4th
place (but the Sharks held the tiebreaker), 5 games ahead of
the 6th place Bushslappers. The Cutters are the most extreme team in
the
post-season tournament, with the league's fourth-best offense (906 runs
for) and second-worst defense (919 runs allowed). They're also the only
team to advance despite giving up 13 more runs than they scored to rank
7th in run differential. If Pythagoras picked the post-season teams, the Cutters
would be sitting at home with an 80-82 record and the Hillsborough Hired Hitmen -- with a fifth-best
+18 run differential -- would be the No. 5 seed at 83-79. The Cutters
also would be out of luck if the playoffs were decided by the
pre-season sims
-- they predicted they'd be the
league's second-worst team, expecting them to have the fifth-worst
offense and
third-worst pitching staff. But that's why you don't play the games on
paper! But let's give credit to The Swami, who called the
Cutters "a team that could surprise."
The Sharks may have scored 14 more runs
than the Cutters -- mostly thanks to having hit 12 more home runs over
the course of the season -- but Hoboken beats Honolulu in almost every
other offensive category -- team BA (.288 to .281), SLG (.478 to .461),
OPS (.827 to .811), runs created (962.4 to 921.2), doubles (371 to
302), triples (38 to 13) and stolen bases (68 to 54), and the two teams
are tied in OBP (.349). The Cutters also beat them in another category:
Kevin
Mitchell Award candidates! No one on the Honolulu roster has had a
season like Cutter third baseman Miguel
Cabrera,
who hit .363 (.989 OPS) with 235 hits, 50 doubles, 30 home runs, 104
runs and 114 RBIs. Cabrera -- who, it needs to be said, is still only
24 years old -- is the centerpiece of a lineup that also includes C Josh
Bard (.324, .844 OPS, 45
2B, 16 HR, 119 R, 101 RBI), CF Mike Cameron
(.275, .835 OPS, 41 2B, 25 HR, 108 RBI, 13 SB) and SS Hanley Ramirez (.255, .716 OPS, 37 2B, 19 HR, 106
R, 33 SB). The team platoons at the other five positions. First base is
shared by Mike Jacobs (.285, .807 OPS vs RHP)
and Greg Norton
(.292, .879 OPS vs LHP); second base is Jose
Valentin (.238, .744 vs RHP) and Ian Kinsler
(.185, .602 vs LHP); left field is Chris Duncan
(.307, 1.018 vs RHP) and Jose Bautista (.262,
.807 vs LHP); right field is Geoff Jenkins
.316, .844 vs RHP) and Bobby Kielty
(.337, 1.055 vs LHP); and the DH duties are typically given to a
regular (usually Bard or Ramirez) who needs "half a day off," with Mike Napoli taking over behind the plate against
righties (.255, .930 vs RHP) and Omar Vizquel
playing shortstop against lefties (.331, .803 vs LHP). With all that
platooning, there's not much room for a bench -- the only options are
3B Chad Tracy (.261, .774 OPS in 155 PA) and
defensive replacement/pinch runner/fan favorite Aaron
Rowand (1-for-3, 1 RBI).
The Sharks don't have anyone with
Cabrera-caliber numbers this year, but their veteran lineup is deeper
-- they don't have an A+, but they have more B's. In fact, while
there's no doubt as to who is the best hitter in Hoboken's lineup, you
can make a case for five different guys on the Sharks: SS Miguel Tejada (.321, .789 OPS, 19 HR, 102 R); C Brian McCann (.314, .943 OPS, 29 HR, 99 RBI); 1B Adrian Gonzalez (.307, .858 OPS, 49 2B, 107 RBI);
RF Jermaine Dye (.277, .903 OPS, 49 HR, 129
RBI) and DH Jason Giambi (.267, .996 OPS, 50 HR, 121 RBI).
Joining those five on the field every day is veteran CF Johnny Damon (.261, .734 OPS, 40 2B, 88 R, 13
SB). Second base started out as a platoon between Brian Roberts (.232, .623 vs RHP) and Jamey Carroll (.250, .613 vs LHP), but that was
abandoned about two months into the season and the full-time job handed
over to Ryan Freel. The speedy Freel (16 SB)
is hitting a solid .288/.395/.385 vs lefties, but just .197/.267/.260
vs RHP, and he doesn't have the glove that Roberts does. We'll see if
in the post-season the Sharks try Roberts again vs righties, or if they
continue with the Freel deal. The Sharks have very effective platoons
at the other two positions -- third base between Eric
Chavez (.260, .834 vs RHP) and Rich Aurilia
(.305, .778 vs LHP), and left field between Frank
Catalanotto (.334, .858 vs RHP) and Torii
Hunter (.268, .866 vs LHP). The bench consists of whoever's not
playing second, third and left, plus two catchers. Kenji
Johjima (.298, .749 in 180 PA) typically starts vs LHP to give
McCann a breather, while Jason Kendall (.211,
.531 in 88 PA) generally rides the pine. However, the team has more
flexibility than you might expect as several players can play multiple
positions: Carroll can play 2B or SS, Freel can be used at 2B, 3B or
OF, Giambi can still play 1B in a pinch, and Aurilia is eligible at
every infield spot.
Considering they rank 7th and 13th in runs
allowed, it's not a surprise neither the Sharks nor the Cutters have a
hurler having a Ben
McDonald Award-worthy season. But the edge has to go to the Sharks,
who have
-- if not better numbers -- at least bigger names.
Just as with their offense, it's tough to say who is their ace. Most
fans would probably say it's rookie Jered Weaver,
the first overall pick in
this year's draft: He led the team with an
11.1 R/9 (4th in the DMBL) and .548 QS% (tied for 7th in the DMBL), and
ranked 2nd on the team and 9th in the DMBL with a 4.34
ERA -- but he went 10-13 and led the team (and tied for 3rd in the
league) with 42 HRs allowed. Lefty Jeff Francis
has a 4.09 ERA, which led the team and ranked 6th in the DMBL, but he's
11-11 with a 12.7 R/9, .467 QS% and a miserable 1.7 K:BB ratio (57 BB,
96 K in 196.0 IP). Jason Schmidt led the
team with a 17-5 record -- which ranked him 4th in W% and tied for 4th
in wins -- but he had a bloated 5.38 ERA and 14.3 R/9. The final two
spots in the rotation were shared between Roy
Oswalt
(12-8, 5.20 ERA, 13.1 R/9), Cliff Lee
(5-8, 5.27 ERA, 14.4 R/9) and Kenny Rogers
(3-8, 4.80 ERA, 13.0 R/9). How will the Sharks set up their post-season
rotation? You would think Weaver is a lock for either Game 1 or Game 2.
As for the other two starters, Francis and Schmidt would appear to be
the favorites, although given Hoboken has fared a little better against
southpaws this year (.569 W% vs LHP, .514 W% vs RHP), maybe Oswalt will
get the start, saving Francis if needed for Game 4.
It's also tough to decide who is the best hurler in Hoboken, but they
sure are a fun group to watch -- no matter which team you're rooting
for! The Cutter pitching staff led the league with 259 HRs allowed, and
also induced the fewest GIDPs in the league (111) -- despite tying for
8th in baserunners allowed (13.6). They also ranked 11th
in K/9 (6.8) and had the fourth-highest OPS allowed (.825). Yet while
the numbers aren't pretty, Hoboken fans love young guns Scott Kazmir (14-13, 4.64 ERA, 13.2 R/9, 231 K in
199.2 IP) and Boof Bonser (11-8, 5.54 ERA,
12.2 R/9, 180 Ks in 193.1 IP). They're backed up by pair of jouneyman
veterans who have found a home in Hoboken -- Vicente
Padilla (12-6, 4.35 ERA, 14.6 R/9) and Jon
Garland
(15-12, 4.56 ERA, 12.8 R/9). But the unquestioned leader of this
rotation -- numbers aside -- is veteran Jarrod
Washburn, one of three players remaining from the original 2001
Cutters. The lefty battled his way to a 14-14 record despite a 5.99 ERA
and 14.5 R/9. While it would seem he would be the odd man out when the
Cutters draw up their post-season rotation, don't overlook the fact
that the Sharks went 26-27 against lefties but 60-49 against righties.
But while the Sharks may have the edge in the starting rotations, it
appears they're at a disadvantage in the bullpen. The trouble began at
the top, with veteran closer Tom Gordon (5.50
ERA, 14.8 R/9, 7 W, 21 SV, 8 L, 11 BS). Gordon still has good enough
stuff to blow people away (89 Ks in 86.2 IP), but he just gives up too
many walks (4.5 BB/9) and home runs (1.8 HR/9). A number of Shark fans
have made the suggestion that Gordon be replaced as the closer by setup
man Chad Bradford (7-5, 2 SV, 3.58 ERA, 12.1
R/9, .212 IR%), but that seems unlikely at this late date. Plus,
Bradford has never been used as a closer before, and this is the first
time he's been on a post-season roster. (In fact, this is just his
second full season in the DMBL, though he's been bouncing between the
minors and the bigs since 2002.) Gordon, on the other hand, was here
with the '98 Lightning, '99 Mudcats and '06 Sugar Bears, and won a
World Series ring with Newark last year. The rest of the 'pen consists
of lefties Pedro Feliciano (5-4, 3 SV, 3.84
ERA, 15.4 R/9, .436 IR%) and Mike Myers (2-4,
5 SV, 4.85 ERA, 13.8 R/9, .226 IR%) and righty and Geoff
Geary (7-2, 2 SV, 4.35 ERA, 13.6 R/9, .333 IR%).
The Cutters avoided a Gordon-Bradford style
controversy by making their change earlier in the year. Veteran Jason Isringhausen has been a member of the
Cutters since their first season, but it was clear he just didn't have
his old stuff any more (5.69 ERA, 13.0 R/9), so the team eased him into
a supporting role with former Endzone Animal Juan
Rincon
(4.53 ERA, 13.5 R/9). Neither one has terrific peripheral numbers, but
together they've recorded 35 saves in 41 chances for an impressive .854
SV%. The co-closers are set up by Brandon League (2.70
ERA, 10.2 R/9 in 29 G with Hoboken) and Wes
Littleton (4.37 ERA, 14.7 R/9 in 19 G with Hoboken), who were
acquired in trades just before the deadline. The only lefty in the 'pen
is veteran Darren Oliver (5.54 ERA, 13.3 R/9).
Late in the season, the Cutters added David Riske
(9 ER, 12 H, 7 BB, 3 K 4 HR in 11.1 IP) and Brandon
Lyon (4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K, 2 HR in 5.1 IP), but it would be a
surprise if either made the playoff roster.
The bottom line:
These two teams appear to be almost perfectly matched -- in fact,
they're even exactly tied when it comes to team fielding percentage
(.980). On offense they're essentially even; in pitching, the Sharks
have a slightly better rotation, but the Cutters have a slightly better
bullpen. And although the Sharks won the regular season series, 8 games
to 5, as we noted before seven of the 13 games were decided by just one
run. Are they so closely matched that the series will be decided by who
has home-field advantage in Game 5? The Cutters certainly hope not --
while the Sharks had identical 43-38 records at home or on the road,
the Cutters actually posted a losing record on the road (40-41),
including a 3-5 record in Honolulu. Will the Cutters' long road back to
the post-season end in the first round because they couldn't win just
one more game during the regular season? But at least history is on the
side of the fifth-ranked Cutters -- since the three-tiered playoff
system was adopted in 1997, the No. 4 seed has gone just 2-8 in the
first round! We'll say precedence, and Miggy's bat, is enough to carry
the Hoboken Cutters past the Sharks
and into the second round.
Newark Sugar Bears
(#1, 118-44) and Philadelphia Endzone Animals (#2, 103-59)
Meanwhile, the
division champions Newark Sugar Bears and Philadelphia Endzone Animals get to sit out this
round. Philly will face the highest-seeded team that survives the first
round, meaning Newark will face the sixth-seeded D.C.
Bushslappers if they pull off the upset; if not, the Endzone
Animals face
the third-seeded Marietta Mighty Men and
the Sugar Bears face the winner of the show-down between the
fourth-place Honolulu Sharks and the
fifth-place Hoboken Cutters. During the
bye week, the Sugar Bears
will stay in shape by playing the Rockford Peaches
while the Endzone Animals -- perhaps inspired by the "brother vs.
brother" match-up between Marietta and D.C. -- will have a scrimmage
against the Carolina Mudcats. "Scrimmage,
hell," Mudcat owner Chris Pucci said. "If we
win we are tearing down that Division Champions banner and taking it to Bullhead
Memorial Stadium!"
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